mindstalk: (Homura)

Possibly you haven't heard about covid much recently. Is it over? Nah. Going by wastewater models, as described in the various reports here, 1 in 96 Americans is estimated as infected with covid-19 as of April 8. Different groups estimated 1 in 139 for Canada (wastewater, March 31) and 1 in 143 for UK (surveillance testing, March 14, project discontinued then). And the forecast based on past years is to go up again, before another trough in June-July, and then going back up again a lot.

Read more... )

As for bird flu, I dunno. This article is more comprehensive than most, talking about genetics, and why the probable cow-to-cow transmission going on may not mean it's airborne between mammals (yet). Infections don't seem that bad for cows, but have been devastating for sea mammals.

mindstalk: (angry sky)
So if you've been paying attention to the reality-based community, you've heard that covid-2019 isn't just a matter of live or die, it can leave you wheezing, missing a sense of smell, with organ or brain damage, and other exciting gifts.

I think of most diseases as "live or die", so this seemed pretty unusual. Almost lends credence to the bioweapon idea: asymptomatic spread, long incubation time, long term effects...

But recently I remember polio, the diseases that left FDR in a wheelchair. So there's precedent.

And I've been reading Kurlansky's Milk, which happened to include these passages:

"Bovine tuberculosis, a disease found in cattle, is transmitted to humans through milk. It attacks the glands, intestines, and bones. Humans who survive the disease often become hunchbacked or deformed in other ways."

"It caused what was called Mediterranean fever, whose symptoms were severe joint pain, sweats and chills, and fevers that lasted as long as six months. On occasion, the symptoms were permanent. The bacterium that caused the disease was named Brucellosis,"

"A similar discovery, bad news for goat’s-milk advocates, was that raw goat’s milk can carry a bacterium called Brucella melitensis, which causes undulant fever, heavy perspiration, and aching joints, a condition that can last for weeks or months."

So not so unusual. Just unusual among First World diseases of recent decades.
mindstalk: (Default)
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080411/ap_on_go_pr_wh/animal_disease_5

The US has a research facility on Plum Island, away from livestock, reachable only by helicopter or ferry. Homeland Security wants a new lab, quite possibly located near livestock herds.

"there are financial concerns about operating from a location accessible only by ferry or helicopter."

"An epidemic of the disease, foot and mouth, which only affects animals, could devastate the livestock industry."

"the simulation's National Guardsmen were ordered to kill tens of millions of farm animals, so many that troops ran out of bullets. In the exercise, the government said it would have been forced to dig a ditch in Kansas 25 miles long to bury carcasses. In the simulation, protests broke out in some cities amid food shortages."

This seems like classic penny-wise, pound-foolish. Not to mention something to file under "is there anything this administration won't try to screw up?"

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