mindstalk: (Default)
Finnish maternity box all Finnish mothers can get http://updatednews.ca/2013/06/03/why-finnish-babies-moslty-sleep-in-cardboard-boxes/

Boston's role in gay liberation. First gay representative elected here. Origin of GLAD, but also NAMBLA. http://www.bostonglobe.com/ideas/2013/06/01/how-boston-powered-gay-rights-movement/wEsPZOdHhByHpjeXrJ6GbN/story.html

Yglesias on the space we lavish on inefficient cars http://www.slate.com/blogs/moneybox/2013/06/04/overallocation_of_urban_space_to_cars.html

inverse relation between trust and small business levels http://www.slate.com/articles/business/small_business/2012/07/the_small_business_problem_why_greece_italy_and_spain_have_too_many_small_firms_.html

Suicide by euro http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/06/03/the-triumph-of-peter-kenen-the-revenge-of-robert-mundell/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/06/03/the-macroeconomics-of-european-disunion/

How Fox News controls its message http://www.salon.com/2013/05/29/i_was_a_liberal_mole_at_fox_news_from_bill_oreilly_to_roger_ailes_heres_all_the_inside_dope/

carbon pricing around the world http://m.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/06/04/congress-hates-carbon-pricing-the-rest-of-the-world-doesnt/

economics of ticket scalping http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/09/magazine/the-secret-science-of-scalping-tickets.html?_r=0

Paleo diet/lifestyle myths http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/crux/?p=3098 and http://discovermagazine.com/2013/april/17-paleomythic-how-people-really-lived-during-the-stone-age

How long each Doctor lasted http://www.wonderfulbook.co.uk/docdurations2.png
Moffat bingo http://www.impossiblepodcasts.com/2011/08/doctor-who-moffat-bingo-play-along-at.html

world improvement charts, with snark http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/05/24/these-31-charts-will-destroy-your-faith-in-humanity/

Partisans can be more accurate when paid to do so http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/06/03/if-you-pay-them-money-partisans-will-tell-you-the-truth/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein

Early Social Security not necessarily racist by intention http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/06/03/a-second-look-at-social-securitys-racist-origins/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein

Obamacare premium effects http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/06/03/the-six-ways-obamacare-changes-insurance-premiums/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein
mindstalk: (Default)
A little note on the rapid social progress of the US. E.g. back in the halcyon Reagan days, only a minority of Americans said they approved of interracial marriage. Something of a jump during the Clinton years, then another rise with Obama... do Democratic presidencies make poll responses more liberal?
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/22/seneca-salem-and-stonewall/

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/20/obama-and-redistribution/

Just as I was sympathetic to The Spirit Level, but not entirely convinced, so Krugman, though concerned about inequality, can't agree with Stiglitz that it's directly crippling recovery.
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/20/inequality-and-recovery/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/21/more-on-inequality/

links

2012-05-22 19:03
mindstalk: (Default)
Small businesses care about cutting arbitrary licensing regulations, not taxes. A libertarian attitude I could get behind. http://www.slate.com/articles/business/the_hive/2012/05/small_business_growth_depends_on_cutting_red_tape_not_taxes_.html

What President Romney would mean for women. http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/blogs/national-affairs/what-president-romney-would-mean-for-women-20120515?link=mostpopular5

IMF calls out Cameron's austerity measures. http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/22/britains-blunder/

Super round moon. http://www.planetary.org/blogs/emily-lakdawalla/2012/05211206.html

Grover Norquist compares closing tax leaving to Nazis
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/21/godwinization/

on voluntarily shorter copyright terms
http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/sj/2012/05/21/copyright-failure-terms-are-much-much-much-too-long-solution-needed/

veteran suicide rates. double the risk, 4x the risk for 17-24
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/15/opinion/sunday/kristof-a-veterans-death-the-nations-shame.html?_r=3&pagewanted=all

ancient bacteria
http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/2012/05/18/millennia-old-microbes-found-alive-in-deep-ocean-muck/

chronotypes and school starting time teenage sleep
http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/a-blog-around-the-clock/2012/05/20/when-should-schools-start-in-the-morning/
sleep as simple sit still, evolution of wakefulness
http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/a-blog-around-the-clock/2012/05/19/non-adaptive-function-of-sleep/

Heartland Institute in climate change trouble
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/may/20/heartland-institute-future-staff-cash

euro unemployment rate
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/20/kings-of-denial/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/20/keynes-1921-and-the-euro-crisis/

NAACP endorses gay marriage
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/naacp-endorses-same-sex-marriage/2012/05/19/gIQA5SFSbU_blog.html
mindstalk: (squeee)
http://www.playboy.com/magazine/playboy-interview-paul-krugman/

We could be out of what he calls the Lesser Depression in 18 months. We could have been out before the 2010 elections. If politicians listened to mainstream textbook economics...

PLAYBOY: Is that the cause of the financial crisis, people buying big houses?

KRUGMAN: No, it’s not. They did that because they believed the prices would continue to rise, and the lenders believed the prices would continue to rise. It’s not an evil thing to buy a house in the belief that if things go well, you will be able to afford it or sell it and pay off the mortgage. Of course, as always, people are trying to make it into “those people” being irresponsible and doing in the financial system. But it’s not that story. It’s just a classic bubble, but it’s an enormous one.

[On Alan Greenspan] how wrong do you have to be to get written out of the debate? He assured us that deregulation was making the system more stable. He was repeatedly wrong as the crisis unfolded. Look at Paul Volcker, whom I disagree with on some stuff but who is certainly an incredibly upstanding human being. When he left the Fed, he deliberately went silent to leave the field clear for Greenspan. Greenspan instead raced out to cash in personally on his role. He’s been so completely wrong at this point that the idea that some people still listen to him as a source of wisdom is awesome.

PLAYBOY: Is it accurate to simplify our modern economy as a choice between working for a high-wage General Motors model versus the low-wage Walmart strategy?

KRUGMAN: I think the choice we made, really without understanding that we were making the choice, was to make Walmart jobs low paying. They didn’t have to be. In a different legal environment, a megacorporation with more than a million employees might well have been a company with a union that resulted in decent wages. We think of Walmart jobs as being low wage with 50 percent turnover every year because that’s the way we’ve allowed it to develop.

Suppose you were given the choice of being born in America or in Ethiopia. What proportion of your eventual fortune would you be willing to give to be born in America? Given the great good fortune of getting to live and run a business in this country that has all the advantages an advanced country with a decent system provides, how can you think it’s all you? And then, how can you feel you don’t have any obligation to pay it back?

===

He's also jostled about how he gushes about optimistic bands he's discovered on Youtube. Who are apparently all Canadian, according to the comments. Is US music, like US science fiction, DOOMED? (That's pure James Nicoll bait.)
mindstalk: (Default)
RLB for Reality's Liberal Bias.
Krugman has several blog posts in a row and a column on the evidence against austerity policies, and wonders why pundits concluded that the failure of a single half-assed stimulus discredits Keynesianism, but treat austerity as Serious Policy despite repeated and nigh universal failure.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/18/austerity-and-growth/
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/20/opinion/krugman-pain-without-gain.html
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/19/wars-and-growth/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/19/the-irish-success-story/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/20/straight-talk-and-shifting-windows/

links

2012-02-05 01:32
mindstalk: (Default)
Why Ron Paul is wrong about the Fed: http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2012/feb/01/dissecting-one-ron-pauls-dangerous-ideas/
Relatedly: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_depression

Australia labor benefits
http://www.truth-out.org/fair-work-fair-pay-lessons-australia/1323897880

Germany pays car workers twice as much, makes more cars and profits
http://www.forbes.com/sites/frederickallen/2011/12/21/germany-builds-twice-as-many-cars-as-the-u-s-while-paying-its-auto-workers-twice-as-much/
http://www.remappingdebate.org/article/tale-two-systems

anesthesia and consciousness research
https://www.technologyreview.com/article/39289/?p1=A1

US debt is money we owe to ourselves, or will make our children owe to
other of our children
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/28/debt-is-mostly-money-we-owe-to-ourselves/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/28/more-on-the-burden-of-debt/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/29/the-burden-of-debt-again-again/
history and taxes, with UK debt/GDP chart. "socialism" brought down the
postwar debt
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/31/a-thought-on-debt-history/
US debt/GDP per capita
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-8vM5YBSRgXQ/TrKVmdxh8bI/AAAAAAAAEmA/xf9_U_IK9Ho/s1600/US-Debt-Burden-per-Capita-1831-2011.png
US net investment income, we get more than we pay
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/31/us-net-investment-income/

the fat trap
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/01/magazine/tara-parker-pope-fat-trap.html?pagewanted=all&src=ISMR_AP_LO_MST_FB

YEC and the water cycle
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/upload/2011/06/i_grow_concerned_for_your_cran/waterproof.jpeg

yen deflation liquidity trap
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/30/a-yen-for-yen/

Mankiw on what economists agree on
http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2009/02/news-flash-economists-agree.html

Keynesian evidence
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/30/opinion/keynes-was-right.html
mindstalk: (Default)
Fannie Mae subprime lies
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/20/fannie-freddie-follies/

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/20/politifact-r-i-p/
Hungary details
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/20/more-hungary/
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/22/world/europe/foes-of-hungarys-government-fear-demolition-of-democracy.html?ref=world&pagewanted=all

defensive plutocrats top 1%
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-20/bankers-join-billionaires-to-debunk-imbecile-attack-on-top-1-.html

stimulus prediction
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/21/nobody-could-have-predicted-3/
Romney lies continue
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/21/romneys-big-lie/

IMF, austerity, and bleeding
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/21/olivier-blanchard-isnt-very-serious/

new mercury regulations!
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/22/the-meaning-of-mercury/
GOP opposes; Jon Huntsman insane too
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/26/opinion/krugman-springtime-for-toxics.html
government to require truth in airfares
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/27/business/airfares-in-ads-soon-must-include-taxes-and-fees.html


10 worst economic ideas of 2011
http://www.newdeal20.org/2011/12/22/the-10-worst-economic-ideas-of-2011-67621/
Fannie Mae big lie
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/24/joe-nocera-gets-mad/

Obama guts Obamacare, lets states decide essential benefits
http://www.kaiserhealthnews.org/Daily-Reports/2011/December/19/essential-benefits.aspx

low inflation
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/23/an-inflation-update/

dark age of economics: devaluation and forgetting Milton Friedman
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/23/new-frontiers-in-economic-barbarism/
evidence of wage stickiness
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/24/exchange-rates-and-wages/
evidence of fiscal policy working
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/24/fiscal-policy-works/

Turkey accuses France of genocide
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2011/12/20111223223922279.html

veganism vs. grass-fed beef, mice sentience
http://theconversation.edu.au/ordering-the-vegetarian-meal-theres-more-animal-blood-on-your-hands-4659

Israel discusses Armenian genocide, with odd bedfellow politics
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/27/world/middleeast/israel-risks-turkish-ire-with-recognition-of-armenian-genocide.html?partner=rss&emc=rss
Thailand royalists arrest more critics. 20 year prison sentence for text
messages
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/25/world/asia/royalists-step-up-efforts-to-defend-thai-monarchy.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

core inflation
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/27/the-core-not-rotten/
experts look smarter than they are due to experience
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/27/shallow-be-thy-name/
bond rates fall everywhere
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/27/america-is-not-exceptional/

Republicans trying to restrict college voters
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/27/opinion/keeping-college-students-from-the-polls.html
mindstalk: (Default)
From reading Krugman and Victoria Chick on Keynes.

* In a liquidity trap, aka right now, investment = savings at a negative interest rate, say -5%. Savings increases with interest rate, investment declines. Since interest can't go below 0, there is a glut of savings and not enough investment -- or employment.
* China's buying of our bonds, far from helping us, contributes to the glut of savings.
* Our problem is too much debt, so why should be borrow more? Because debts aren't equal: who holds them matters. Must matter, for "too much debt" to have any social meaning; after all, one person's debt is another person's asset, so globally it's a wash. But debt at 10% owed by an income-constrained worker is not the same as debt at 3% owed by a government with deep pockets and the security of total-economy diversification. In Keynesian stimulus, the government borrows and hires business or workers, enabling them to pay off their debts, in effect transfering debt from private to public hands -- the US as a whole doesn't end up owing more, but does end up paying less in interest and enjoying more activity.
** Consumer debt is currently 108% of income. Federal debt has soared, yet 10-year interest rates continue to fall; lenders are almost desperate to find someone to lend to.
* Capitalism can be defined as the means of production being in fewer hands than those involved in actual production. The socialist but anti-Stalinist objection of "it's not communism, but state capitalism" makes sense this way: the means of production are in the even fewer hands of Party commissars. A socialism where the central planners are actually democratically responsible is somewhat different, with the workers having control of production in an indirect and aggregate manner; a socialism of employee owned businesses, where workers control the firms they themselves work in, is different yet again. And compatible with markets, and with capitalism in a very loose sense, but not with distinctive capitalism where control is concentrated outside of the workers' hands.
mindstalk: (Default)
Big dump! Most of them are short. Maybe leave a tab open and work through gradually?

General themes or special notes:
* bond market is not a problem (even the Standard and Poor warning about US debt had no effect), inflation is not a problem, unemployment is the huge problem. Naturally Very Serious People in DC are worried about bond and inflation vigilantes and no one talks about unemployment.
* The deficit, especially as the stimulus programs tail off, is because of a big slump in revenue -- from my own reading, from $2.7 trillion 3 years go to $2.3 trillion -- and rise in income security spending, i.e. unemployment insurance, food stamps, Medicaid. I.e., not from any new programs Obama has irresponsibly created, but from the back that employment has collapsed and we try to keep people from starving.
* Paul Ryan is a flim flam man who's Very Serious Budget Plan calls for $3 trillion of tax cuts yet claims to be revenue neutral, due to closing of loopholes which are never actually identified. Meanwhile progressives do have a budget plan, that would actually balance the budget. Yes, through raising taxes., to levels still well short of other developed countries.
* 400 people get 10% of all capital gains
* UK and Ireland are disproving the austerity plans that Very Serious People advocate, and proving Keynesianism. But no one understands Keynesianism any more, or listens to those who do.
* Raising the Medicare eligibility age: hey, who doesn't live as long, and tend to take jobs that lead to more health problems earlier? That's right, poor people.

Dark Age Ahead )
mindstalk: (Default)
You might be happy and optimistic. We can fix that.

Well, we can start out positive:

America isn't broke, based on 10-year bond rates
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/08/unbroke-america/

IMF reform?
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/07/does-imf-stand-for-impressive-macroeconomic-flexibility/

low size of defense spending
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/02/19/more-on-defense/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/02/18/realism-on-defense-spending/

trains freedom
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/01/trains-and-freedom/


Doomed America is DOOMed. Also Canada, UK, Europe, and the world.

Republican hostility to sane Medicare cost control
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/07/comparative-destructiveness/

graph of how US debt fell, until the post Reagan GOP came in charge
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/07/turning-a-blind-eye-to-the-obvious/

class solidarity of corporate executives in opposing policies that would help their companies
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/07/corporate-solidarity/

copper oil spread prediction of bad growth
http://pragcap.com/copper-tanks-as-oilcopper-divergence-widens

housing bubble and Canada
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/04/oy-canada-2/

how poor the job numbers are
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/04/jobs-in-perspective/

ECB job austerity: raise unemployment to deal with rising food and oil prices
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/04/the-madness-of-jean-claude-trichet/

UK austerity hurt business confidence
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/03/in-search-of-the-confidence-fairy/
mindstalk: (lizsword)
A bunch of Krugman blog posts today on the economy; they're all pretty short though, his column at the end is the longest.
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/24/a-bizarre-complacency/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/24/a-familiar-feeling/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/24/money-mouth/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/24/gee-thats-de-pressing/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/24/notes-on-the-dollar-panic/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/23/deficit-hysteria/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/22/joke-europeans/

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/23/opinion/23krugman.html

The general messages: unemployment is disastrously high and there's no sign it's going to get better and no one's doing anything about it. Instead, they, including Obama, are whining or worrying about the debt and inflation, even though the debt isn't that high comparatively, there's no more sign of inflation than there is of employment, and it all seems like a herd effect of conventional wisdom stupidity like the runup to the Iraq invasion, where if you go against the herd you're a crazy person even if you're right.

Inflation: rates are low, people with money like Pimco are moving *into* government bonds, and Japan has been in its recession for the past 20 years, with high debt, and... 1.x% interest rates. It's a phantom menace. But people are worrying about it more than 10% or 17% of the workforce being un- or under-employed, local governments not being able to hold on to their teachers or repair roads.

* Salary gender gap in engineering
* A quarter of US teen girls get STDs, many from their first partner.

On happier or funnier notes:
* Zeppelins over LA
* Unauthorized index of Palin's book

sentence, actual
________"As the soles of my shoes hit the soft ground, I pushed past the tall cottonwood trees in a euphoric cadence, and meandered through willow branches that the moose munched on," 102
mindstalk: (lizsword)
Well, before that, a summary of Nixon's health reform plan. Pretty similar in spirit to Obama's, but more assertively defined, and maybe further to the left in helping the poor. The country may have moved to the left on gay, women, and black rights, but well to the right on economic issues. AFAIK *Truman's* attempt would have been Medicare for all, essentially, sweeping government insurance a la Canada or Australia.

* "freshwater" economist backlash. These are the "unemployment is voluntary" types if you haven't been keeping up. Chicago school, neo-Friedmanites (more radical than Milton himself.) Followup and dissection of their rage, with brief mention of their mistakes.

* 19th century globalization: the jute industry in Dundee Scotland, using Indian raw materials.

* Even the WTO agrees that carbon tariffs are an allowable and possible essential tool. But free market fundamentalists and fetishists won't.
* Review of a biography of Keynes.

* "Memories of the Carter Administration". Actually on the macroeconomic debate in the late 1970s. Robert Lucas claiming government policies couldn't affect recession or employment, Robert Barro expressing a negative interest in contradictory data. Someone asked him how he could reconcile his model with the severe recession taking place as he spoke. “I’m not interested in the latest residual,” Barro snapped.
** John Quiggin on the same subject. And, back in 2003,

In fact, it’s striking that there is now almost no academic discipline whose conclusions can be considered acceptable to orthodox Republicans. The other social sciences (sociology, anthropology, political science) are even more suspect than economics. The natural sciences are all implicated in support for evolution against creationism, and for their conclusions about global warming, CFCs and other environmental threats. Even the physicists have mostly been sceptical about Star Wars and its offspring. And of course the humanities are beyond the pale.

* Bankers are going straight back to the pay policies that contributed to the current crisis. "In this case populism is good economics." Obama, of course, gives few signs of actually being a populist.

* The low cost of saving the environment. Not a deep essay, but of interest is Even corporations are losing patience with the deniers: earlier this week Pacific Gas and Electric canceled its membership in the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in protest over the chamber’s “disingenuous attempts to diminish or distort the reality” of climate change.
** The missing depth (blogs don't have word limits.) Even Greg Mankiw supports externalty (e.g. pollution) taxes.
** And more depth, graph and better explanation.
mindstalk: (Default)
A bunch of links, in rough descending order of importance:

* His big article on the state of macroeconomics, and the intellectual bankruptcy leading up to the crisis. Somewhat old news if you've been following his columns and blog, but otherwise it's well worth reading if you want to make sense of the current world -- and the failure of supposed experts to make sense of it. Some points: Keynes wasn't about government takeover, but government intervention; Keynes had total contempt for financial markets, a second-guessed beauty contest; Milton Friedman wasn't as radical as his intellectual descendants, who now insist that people are unemployed because they want to be; "the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent."
** Notes on the article
* Also important: how government stopped (probably) a second Great Depression.
* Soaring income inequality
* Republican crazy, where a 'moderate' talks about "death panels".
* Bush's $2.8 trillion of debt.

* Why the public option matters.
* Why individual insurance doesn't work

* The purpose of stimulus is to mitigate unemployment. Jobless 'recovery' means we're not done yet. Lack of marginal thinking about the stimulus -- it makes sense (if wrong) to believe the stimulus is bad, or that we should spend all the way back up to full employment. A partial stimulus, where we just limp along, is simply confused.

* Keynesian lesson of 1979 and 1970s

* The Blue Dogs don't make sense.
* Neither does Arthur Laffer, of Laffer Curve fame. Beware of the government taking over Medicare. Voodoo economics, hell, this is voodoo reality. And zombie Reaganomics

* America's small-business sector is undersized compared to, say, Sweden. Perhaps because of health insurance.

* Why is he getting death wishes over Swiss health care?
* The problem with modern journalism: horse race reporting. It's safe and easy to report the story about the story, not the actual story. Just have to echo what people say, not actually think.
** Which seems a good point to ask why Glenn Beck hasn't denied murdering a girl in 1990.
* On high debt and growth in the 1940s and 1950s, back in the post-New Deal era of strong government and high taxes. More on why the debt isn't a problem. And more. Um, in reverse chronological order, sorry.
* Blog on what he hopes Obama will say tonight.
mindstalk: (Default)
So, I finished reading Paul Krugman's The Conscience of a Liberal (2007). It's about economic (in)equality in America, how it's changed over time, and why -- in particular, about the political interventions that have reduced or increased it, from the New Deal to movement conservatism, and why those political movements succeeded.

Right before it I read his Pop Internationalism (1997), on the ubiquitous myths regarding international trade and the ill-founded notion of "competitiveness". In that he argued that "countries are not corporations", and not in competition with each other, especially for a country like the US where 90% of GDP is Americans producing for and selling to other Americans. Wages are generally driven by the average level of productivity, with little evidence or mechanism for trade driving them down, especially in general but even in cases like American unskilled labor.

This book doesn't challenge any of his earlier statements on trade, but it's rather more interventionist on wages; the economy generates wealth, but politics and social norms can control how much of that labor gets. We start with what he calls the Long Gilded Age, the Gilded Age proper and the years following, up to the Great Depression in 1929. Income increased at all levels, following the rapid technological development, but inequality stayed high, and politics were highly polarized between populist Democrats and big business Republicans. Then we got the Depression and the New Deal reaction, with Social Security, progressive income tax, estate tax, government supporting unions instead of breaking them, and government work programs, followed by WWII and outright controls on prices and wages. Eisenhower in 1952 brought the GOP to accept the New Deal consensus, and we had 30-ish years of 70-90% top tax bracket, 2.7% growth in the median income (doubling it), relatively low inequality between top and bottom brackets, a minimum wage that was half the average income, and 'bipartisan' politics since the parties basically agreed on major issues, competing on running the government.

Read more... )

...that'll have to be all for now.

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